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After a Historic 2023 COLA, What Can We Expect in 2024?

August 8, 2023

As we have experienced rising inflation in the past few years, the topic of Social Security and its cost of living adjustment (COLA) has once again become a focal point of interest for millions of Americans. The Social Security Administration (SSA) often makes adjustments to benefits to help maintain their value relative to inflation. These adjustments are announced in October during most years and take effect the following January.


So, what can we expect ahead of this October’s update? As we wait to hear from the Social Security Administration, let’s review how they calculate each year’s COLA. Then we can discuss what you might be able to expect in January. 


The Social Security COLA is a crucial annual change that aims to protect the purchasing power of Social Security benefits against the rising cost of living. This adjustment is based on the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), a measure of inflation that tracks the prices of goods and services typically purchased by urban workers and clerical employees. If the CPI-W increases, beneficiaries can expect a COLA increase to keep up with inflation.


2023 COLA Recap. Before we delve into the predicted 2024 COLA, let's take a brief look back at the 2023 adjustment. In 2023, Social Security beneficiaries received a substantial 8.7% COLA, the most significant increase in decades. This sizable adjustment came as a result of surging inflation rates and rising costs of essential goods and services, such as food, housing, and healthcare.


Predictions for the 2024 COLA. While it's important to note that no official announcement has been made at this time, most financial analysts and economists are projecting a moderate COLA for 2024. Based on economic indicators and inflation trends leading up to the adjustment calculation period, experts anticipate a COLA ranging from 2.0% to 3.0%. 


We’ll be sure to update you on the 2024 Social Security COLA when the news is released in October. For now, remember that Social Security is meant to serve as supplementary retirement income only, and keep in touch with us so that we can help you investigate other retirement planning opportunities.


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